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Percentages to win MAC Tournament
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thegeneral Offline
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Percentages to win MAC Tournament
Well, this formula has been dealt a death-blow by the way this year's ratings turned out. Buffalo is the favorite to win the MAC Tournament.

This is based on the log5 formula made by Bill James and the Offensive and Defensive ratings of each team (factoring in home court advantage in the first round).

Code:
Seed Team Quarters  Semis Finals   Win
8  Buffalo  92.68% 50.21% 31.97% 20.42%
6  Akron    90.79% 58.66% 37.65% 19.01%
1  Kent St 100.00% 48.71% 29.10% 17.47%
2  WMU     100.00% 72.75% 34.97% 14.68%
5  Ohio     96.65% 52.92% 21.64% 11.43%
4  Ball St 100.00% 46.84% 17.05%  8.22%
3  Mami    100.00% 38.99% 19.56%  7.06%
7  BGSU     69.12% 19.62%  5.37%  1.21%
10 NIU      30.88%  7.63%  1.82%  0.35%
11 EMU       9.21%  2.35%  0.63%  0.10%
9  CMU       7.32%  1.08%  0.22%  0.05%
12 Toledo    3.35%  0.24%  0.01%  0.0008%
(This post was last modified: 03-06-2011 10:25 AM by thegeneral.)
03-06-2011 10:24 AM
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okgc Offline
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RE: Percentages to win MAC Tournament
(03-06-2011 10:24 AM)thegeneral Wrote:  Well, this formula has been dealt a death-blow by the way this year's ratings turned out. Buffalo is the favorite to win the MAC Tournament.

Looks like an excellent example of computer results based on problem programing.
03-06-2011 11:45 AM
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Hiller4Hyz09 Offline
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RE: Percentages to win MAC Tournament
It likes us though!
03-06-2011 03:17 PM
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