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Big 10 revenue exceeds expectations. $54 million per team
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JRsec Offline
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Post: #54
RE: Big 10 revenue exceeds expectations. $54 million per team
(05-27-2019 09:10 PM)Statefan Wrote:  JR, given those parameters a tweek, the average stadium size of 49K, the mid range R-1 R&D of VT, NC State, UVa, and Miami ranked 46, 47, 51, and 64 respectively and the universe of expansion options are USF, Iowa State, Kansas, Cincy, UCF, TT, Houston, and West Virginia.

School, Attendence for FB, Resarch Dollar Rank:

ISU, 58K, 73 (This is NC State's and VT's doppelganger)
TT, 55K, 113 (Another NC State and VT doppelganger)
USF, 31K, 42 (no real ACC analogue)
UCF, 37K, 98 (no real ACC analogue)
West Va, 56K, 117 (A poor version of Clemson?)
Houston, 32 K, 125 (A less athletically successful version of Louisville)

TCU is a less academically inclined version of BC - undergraduate oriented.
Cincy has mid range ACC academics, but is seating an average of just 28K for football (would likely push to an average of 38K in the ACC).
Kansas is UNC's doppelganger but has no football program.
Baylor, KSU and OSU don't match academically and or ideologically.
ECU is not going to happen.
Army and or Navy have no analogue in the ACC

Unless and until ESPN's machinations can shake the "little brothers" loose and move them to their conference maximizing locations, I just don't see anything happening. NC State, VT, Purdue, NW, Mississippi State, Vandy, TT, and Iowa State all have more value in another conference.

The bottom line is that none of these make the ACC "more money".

That's good work, and it reveals how just down to the nitty gritty we are. The PAC and the ACC have the same play. Offer Texa-homa and add Kansas. The problem for both conferences is that each has 2 real football brands and 1 regional brand with which to multiply the value of Texas and Oklahoma.

The PAC has USC and Washington with regional brand Oregon and the ACC has national brand Florida State, an emerging national brand in Clemson, and a regional brand in Virginia Tech. So that means that neither really has the earning potential to make that kind of move viable for Texas who makes 51 million in media money now or Oklahoma who makes roughly 40 (all three tiers for both OU & UT).

That is why "if there is movement" it will likely be to either the SEC or Big 10 because it simply isn't financially feasible to consider the other two options.

In this world trades never happen but Ole Miss would be better suited to the ACC than a Miss State and the metrics are about the same with slightly better academics. Vanderbilt would be interesting as well and both schools would perform better in the ACC as a whole. That said their moving is extremely unlikely.

The SEC really only has 3 prospects and one is tied up in a GOR until 2037. The Big 10 is in the same shape as the SEC and the PAC is in exactly the same shape as the ACC.

I don't buy these theories that have G5 promotion. The metrics just aren't there for those who bother to look and see. What needs to happen if the Big 12 does blow apart is for some contraction to occur along with the expansion.
05-27-2019 09:44 PM
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RE: Big 10 revenue exceeds expectations. $54 million per team - JRsec - 05-27-2019 09:44 PM

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