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Big 10 revenue exceeds expectations. $54 million per team
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JRsec Offline
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Post: #35
RE: Big 10 revenue exceeds expectations. $54 million per team
It's real simple. With no expansion at all the Big 10 will be sitting at 54 million a year plus escalators with another contract renewal in 2024. The SEC will be sitting at 58 million (possibly a bit more) when the new T1 contract is announced.

If either of them attract Texas and/or Oklahoma it goes up roughly 5 million in value for each one they land (content and market values baked in).

The ACCN will likely payout about 3 million per school the first year and based on your current viewer numbers max out around 7 million plus escalators within a few years following. That would put the ACC in the low 40's while both the SEC and Big 10 will be pushing 60 million.

So if OU which is making around 41-2 currently, or Texas which is making around 51 currently see where their presence in another conference could net the a 20 million a year gain (Oklahoma) or a 13 million a year gain (Texas) then that gap grows to over 20 million with no more game changing pieces on the board.

I don't think the ACC will be poachable until 2035 but if the revenue gap is over 20 million at that time anything becomes possible, especially with state and federal funds continually getting harder to get.

So 2025 won't impact the ACC now. But it might very well impact the ACC in another 10 years following.

Football championships are largely due to Jimbo Fisher and Dabo and Clemson and F.S.U.'s sports objectives being football first. UNC and UVa will hold academic value for the Big 10 and market significance for the Big 10. Likewise their value is the same for the SEC, but with the SEC Virginia Tech might actually be of a bit more potential value than Virginia.

When Nole talks about a select few schools he's really talking about F.S.U., Clemson, North Carolina and Virginia/Virginia Tech. Georgia Tech not so much for either the SEC or Big 10. In 2012 GaTech would have held much more value market wise than today. N.C. State isn't the prize in North Carolina. Duke would be preferable to the academically minded Big 10.

So really there are 4 ACC schools that would be of interest to the Big 10 and 5 of interest to the SEC.

It's why I stated earlier the trick would be for the ACC to try to move to 20 by taking 5 from the Big 12 and cherry picking them at that. UT / OU / KU / and likely OSU and TTU as the cost.

That move adds catch up value to the ACC and denies the Big 10 and SEC the ability to really widen the gap dramatically while leaving no school of particular value to either the PAC or ACC.

That's the ball game. If the SEC and Big 10 add the cream of the Big 12 its game over for the P5, P4, and P3 and what Nole has predicted is the likely outcome. I figure for competitive reasons more of a P2 of 24 teams each rather than a P2 of 20 teams each.

I don't see the PAC being positioned or financed in a manner to be able to pull off a coup of the Texa-homa sized plan in 2011. The ACC is better positioned, but also not in quite the financial position to lure Texas or Oklahoma. But by creating a division and taking little brothers too you might be positioned to strike a bargain even at less of a financial windfall and in so doing prevent what is certain to be the creation of a insurmountable gap.
05-26-2019 11:07 PM
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RE: Big 10 revenue exceeds expectations. $54 million per team - JRsec - 05-26-2019 11:07 PM



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