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Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
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Former Owl Dad Offline
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Post: #1
Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
With one more weekend to kill I thought it might be fun to have a "confidence game" for 2007. I am posting the 12 games below and you assign a value between 1-12 of how confident you are the Owls' will win. Here are a few simple rules:

1) Each number between 1-12 can only be used once.
12 is the highest vote of confidence and 1 is the lowest.

2) Send me a PM with your predictions. Please avoid posting your predictions here as I don't want to create bulletin board material.

3) Post a response here so I can ensure I received the PM with your prediction.

4) All predictions must be received by midnight 8-28-07.

5) I will enter it into an spreadsheet and update the standing point total weekly.

Good Luck!!!!

Nicholls State-
At Baylor-
Texas Tech-
At Texas-
At Southern Miss-
At Houston-
Memphis-
At Marshall-
UTEP-
At SMU-
Tulane-
Tulsa-

Maybe I can talk the mods into giving an award to the winner.03-idea
08-22-2007 05:10 PM
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goriceowls Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Former Owl Dad Wrote:3) Post a response here so I can ensure I received the PM with your prediction.


Responded....
08-22-2007 05:46 PM
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Sleepy Owl Offline
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Post: #3
RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Done
08-22-2007 07:07 PM
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Almadenmike Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Entry submitted.
08-22-2007 07:17 PM
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Rice81 Offline
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Post: #5
RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Responded :)
08-22-2007 08:19 PM
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PTH Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
fouled up first time. Believe I managed to follow the rules on the second try...
08-22-2007 08:47 PM
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owlatheart Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
on the way..............
08-22-2007 09:06 PM
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Barney Online
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
thanks for the game -
mine is sent -
08-22-2007 09:51 PM
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ESE84 Online
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Also sent.
08-22-2007 10:01 PM
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Chef Owl Online
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Done and done.
08-22-2007 10:18 PM
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wrysal Offline
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Post: #11
RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Sent.

(I think 1,2,11, and 12 are no-brainers.)
08-22-2007 10:34 PM
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d1owls4life Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Done
08-23-2007 12:26 AM
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I45owl Online
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Done.
08-23-2007 06:43 AM
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Owl-88 Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Sent
08-23-2007 08:20 AM
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Caelligh Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
My entry is in.
08-23-2007 10:02 AM
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Former Owl Dad Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
21 participants and growing. I am working on some tie breakers based on the information rec'd so far.
08-23-2007 11:31 AM
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Hambone10 Offline
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Post: #17
RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
I'll play!!
08-23-2007 11:45 AM
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OptimisticOwl Offline
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Post: #18
RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Sent.
08-23-2007 11:49 AM
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erice Online
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
So what's the tiebreaker when the Owls run the table??
08-23-2007 01:05 PM
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texd Offline
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Post: #20
RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Mine is sent

wrysal Wrote:(I think 1,2,11, and 12 are no-brainers.)

Really? I think 1 and 12 are, but 2 and 11 I'd say are fairly fluid. Well, okay, 11 might be a gimme too (I suspect that 95% of players made the same #1 as me, 90% the same #12 as me, and probably 80% the same #11. For the same #2, I'd guess in the 40-45% range same as me and I would think that I chose the mode there.
08-23-2007 01:21 PM
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texd Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
erice Wrote:So what's the tiebreaker when the Owls run the table??

Margin of victory differentials?
(This post was last modified: 08-23-2007 01:24 PM by texd.)
08-23-2007 01:23 PM
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bbaker Offline
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Post: #22
RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
I think I know how to follow the rules. I am not sure how it will be scored.

1 and 2 are obvious. I'm more secure about 3 and 4 than I am 11 and 12.
08-23-2007 01:28 PM
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Former Owl Dad Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
texd Wrote:Mine is sent

wrysal Wrote:(I think 1,2,11, and 12 are no-brainers.)

Really? I think 1 and 12 are, but 2 and 11 I'd say are fairly fluid. Well, okay, 11 might be a gimme too (I suspect that 95% of players made the same #1 as me, 90% the same #12 as me, and probably 80% the same #11. For the same #2, I'd guess in the 40-45% range same as me and I would think that I chose the mode there.
FWIW 1 is running 100% and 12 is in the high 90%. The variance drops on 2 and 11.
08-23-2007 02:14 PM
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Former Owl Dad Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
I think we're around 33 now. I will be working on the spreadsheet and tie-breakers this weekend.
08-23-2007 07:21 PM
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owldaddy79 Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
done did it04-cheers
08-23-2007 09:06 PM
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Vegas Owl Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Done!
08-23-2007 09:08 PM
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MJY Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Submitted.
08-24-2007 12:44 AM
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Seventyniner Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
I'm in!
(This post was last modified: 08-24-2007 06:57 AM by Seventyniner.)
08-24-2007 06:57 AM
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Old Sammy Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Sent
08-24-2007 08:50 AM
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FDub Owl Online
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
sent
08-24-2007 09:38 AM
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Former Owl Dad Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
We now have 36 participants and I am confident we will approach 50 by the close of business 8-28-07. I will be publishing a tie-breaker formula next week that will require some additional input from everyone who particpated. I have the contest formatted in Excel and will be glad to provide it to anyone who is participating so that you can track the contest. IMO, I have it on a grid that will be easy to read and work.

I will collect email addresses next week for those who are interested. In addition, I plan to post weekly updates during the season.

Thanks to all.
08-24-2007 11:25 AM
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goriceowls Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Former Owl Dad Wrote:We now have 36 participants and I am confident we will approach 50 by the close of business 8-28-07. I will be publishing a tie-breaker formula next week that will require some additional input from everyone who particpated. I have the contest formatted in Excel and will be glad to provide it to anyone who is participating so that you can track the contest. IMO, I have it on a grid that will be easy to read and work.

I will collect email addresses next week for those who are interested. In addition, I plan to post weekly updates during the season.

Thanks to all.



Thanks for the trouble of putting this together and maintaining it for us...
08-24-2007 11:27 AM
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emmiesix Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
submitted!

oops. I just realized - can you use the formula

(13 - x)

for mine?

Thanks!
01-wingedeagle
08-24-2007 11:57 AM
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ricedogz94 Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
aaaaaaaaaaaaaand done.
01-cowbell
08-24-2007 01:55 PM
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oolongtea Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Great game. Thanks for starting the thread.
08-25-2007 12:28 PM
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Owl-88 Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Don't forget to add MK's picks to the contest.
08-25-2007 01:00 PM
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wrysal Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Quote:Don't forget to add MK's picks to the contest.


MK proves my point about 1,2,11 and 12 being no-brainers. So. Miss on the road will be much tougher than TT at home. Not saying we are necessarily going to beat Tech, but we generally play much better at home (notwithstanding a few great road wins last year).
08-25-2007 01:14 PM
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OptimisticOwl Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
I'm not sure if it means I have a brain, or if it means I don't, but I did differ slightly in my selections on TT and USM, reversing them. You make good points. I hope we win both so the point is moot.
08-25-2007 02:42 PM
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OWLmanz Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
02-13-banana02-13-banana

:wingedeagle:WHO CARES about predictions?!!??

Just hope we do as well as LAST YEAR!!!!!!!!!!!!!03-cloud9 Best in my OWL LIFETIME!! [for football, only]

04-rock04-cheers04-bow04-cheers04-rock
08-25-2007 04:50 PM
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Former Owl Dad Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
I have added MK. I will be emailing all of the players this weekend as I need some extra point and bonus answers to break the ties. We have large number of players and it is growing.
08-25-2007 06:08 PM
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3rd Coast Chick Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
I'm clueless but I entered anyway. Go OWLS!
08-26-2007 01:20 AM
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Caelligh Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
My picks accounted for some uncertainty with the first game simply because it is the first game with the new coaching staff, new defensive scheme, etc.
08-27-2007 07:21 AM
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Brookes Owl Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
I'm in.
08-27-2007 09:57 AM
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Jacknife Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
Done.
08-27-2007 10:17 AM
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kinderowl Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
i'm in.
08-27-2007 11:05 AM
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gumchain Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
I'm in too.
08-27-2007 11:16 AM
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Former Owl Dad Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
49 now in the game. If you have not sent your email to me as I have requested please do so as soon as you can. I would like to have the entire grid complete by midnight Wednesday so I can email to everyone.

This looks like it will provide some interesting conversation when the final spreadsheet is published.
08-27-2007 11:24 AM
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RiceDoc Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
One more in!
08-27-2007 11:41 AM
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Former Owl Dad Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
RiceDoc Wrote:One more in!
Mr. Fifty!!
08-27-2007 12:13 PM
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TFW Offline
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RE: Confidence Game - Rice FB 2007
sent
08-27-2007 08:20 PM
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