With one more weekend to kill I thought it might be fun to have a "confidence game" for 2007. I am posting the 12 games below and you assign a value between 1-12 of how confident you are the Owls' will win. Here are a few simple rules:

1) Each number between 1-12 can only be used once. 12 is the highest vote of confidence and 1 is the lowest.

2) Send me a PM with your predictions. Please avoid posting your predictions here as I don't want to create bulletin board material.

3) Post a response here so I can ensure I received the PM with your prediction.

4) All predictions must be received by midnight 8-28-07.

5) I will enter it into an spreadsheet and update the standing point total weekly.

Good Luck!!!!

Nicholls State-
At Baylor-
Texas Tech-
At Texas-
At Southern Miss-
At Houston-
Memphis-
At Marshall-
UTEP-
At SMU-
Tulane-
Tulsa-

Maybe I can talk the mods into giving an award to the winner.

Former Owl Dad Wrote:3) Post a response here so I can ensure I received the PM with your prediction.

Responded....

Done

Entry submitted.

Responded :)

fouled up first time. Believe I managed to follow the rules on the second try...

on the way..............

thanks for the game -
mine is sent -

Also sent.

Done and done.

Sent.

(I think 1,2,11, and 12 are no-brainers.)

Done

Done.

Sent

My entry is in.

21 participants and growing. I am working on some tie breakers based on the information rec'd so far.

I'll play!!

Sent.

So what's the tiebreaker when the Owls run the table??

Mine is sent

wrysal Wrote:(I think 1,2,11, and 12 are no-brainers.)

Really? I think 1 and 12 are, but 2 and 11 I'd say are fairly fluid. Well, okay, 11 might be a gimme too (I suspect that 95% of players made the same #1 as me, 90% the same #12 as me, and probably 80% the same #11. For the same #2, I'd guess in the 40-45% range same as me and I would think that I chose the mode there.

erice Wrote:So what's the tiebreaker when the Owls run the table??

Margin of victory differentials?

I think I know how to follow the rules. I am not sure how it will be scored.

1 and 2 are obvious. I'm more secure about 3 and 4 than I am 11 and 12.

texd Wrote:Mine is sent

wrysal Wrote:(I think 1,2,11, and 12 are no-brainers.)

Really? I think 1 and 12 are, but 2 and 11 I'd say are fairly fluid. Well, okay, 11 might be a gimme too (I suspect that 95% of players made the same #1 as me, 90% the same #12 as me, and probably 80% the same #11. For the same #2, I'd guess in the 40-45% range same as me and I would think that I chose the mode there.

FWIW 1 is running 100% and 12 is in the high 90%. The variance drops on 2 and 11.

I think we're around 33 now. I will be working on the spreadsheet and tie-breakers this weekend.

done did it

Done!

Submitted.

I'm in!

Sent

sent

We now have 36 participants and I am confident we will approach 50 by the close of business 8-28-07. I will be publishing a tie-breaker formula next week that will require some additional input from everyone who particpated. I have the contest formatted in Excel and will be glad to provide it to anyone who is participating so that you can track the contest. IMO, I have it on a grid that will be easy to read and work.

I will collect email addresses next week for those who are interested. In addition, I plan to post weekly updates during the season.

Thanks to all.

Former Owl Dad Wrote:We now have 36 participants and I am confident we will approach 50 by the close of business 8-28-07. I will be publishing a tie-breaker formula next week that will require some additional input from everyone who particpated. I have the contest formatted in Excel and will be glad to provide it to anyone who is participating so that you can track the contest. IMO, I have it on a grid that will be easy to read and work.

I will collect email addresses next week for those who are interested. In addition, I plan to post weekly updates during the season.

Thanks to all.

Thanks for the trouble of putting this together and maintaining it for us...

submitted!

oops. I just realized - can you use the formula

(13 - x)

for mine?

Thanks!

aaaaaaaaaaaaaand done.

Great game. Thanks for starting the thread.

Don't forget to add MK's picks to the contest.

Quote:Don't forget to add MK's picks to the contest.

MK proves my point about 1,2,11 and 12 being no-brainers. So. Miss on the road will be much tougher than TT at home. Not saying we are necessarily going to beat Tech, but we generally play much better at home (notwithstanding a few great road wins last year).

I'm not sure if it means I have a brain, or if it means I don't, but I did differ slightly in my selections on TT and USM, reversing them. You make good points. I hope we win both so the point is moot.

:wingedeagle:WHO CARES about predictions?!!??

Just hope we do as well as LAST YEAR!!!!!!!!!!!!! Best in my OWL LIFETIME!! [for football, only]

I have added MK. I will be emailing all of the players this weekend as I need some extra point and bonus answers to break the ties. We have large number of players and it is growing.

I'm clueless but I entered anyway. Go OWLS!

My picks accounted for some uncertainty with the first game simply because it is the first game with the new coaching staff, new defensive scheme, etc.

I'm in.

Done.

i'm in.

I'm in too.

49 now in the game. If you have not sent your email to me as I have requested please do so as soon as you can. I would like to have the entire grid complete by midnight Wednesday so I can email to everyone.

This looks like it will provide some interesting conversation when the final spreadsheet is published.

One more in!

RiceDoc Wrote:One more in!

Mr. Fifty!!

sent